TF-EffBiGRU-AttNet: A Novel Deep Learning Framework for Spatio-Temporal Energy Demand Forecasting in Electric Vehicle Charging Networks

S Prakash, S Aruna Mary, G Sudhagar, M Batumalay

Abstract


Electric Vehicle Charging Stations (EVCS) are key enablers of sustainable transportation, yet accurate forecasting of their energy demand remains challenging due to complex spatial-temporal variability. This study introduces a novel hybrid deep learning framework, Two-Fold EfficientNetV2 BiGRU with Attention (TF-EffBiGRU-AttNet), optimized using the Self-Adaptive Hippopotamus Optimization Algorithm (SA-HOA), to enhance prediction accuracy and computational efficiency in EVCS energy demand forecasting. The main objective is to integrate multi-scale spatial learning, bidirectional temporal modeling, and adaptive feature prioritization within a single architecture capable of robust and interpretable forecasting. The model’s novelty lies in its dual-fold spatial feature extraction using EfficientNetV2 and dynamic optimization through SA-HOA, which adaptively balances exploration and exploitation during training. Experimental validation on two real-world datasets from Palo Alto and Perth demonstrates that the proposed model consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. For the 7-1 forecasting task, TF-EffBiGRU-AttNet achieved the lowest MAE of 0.012 and RMSE of 0.051 for Palo Alto, and MAE of 0.029 with RMSE of 0.12 for Perth. For the 30-7 task, it achieved MAE of 0.0332, RMSE of 0.1654, and MAPE of 0.20% on Palo Alto, and MAE of 0.0235, RMSE of 0.0824, and MAPE of 0.37% on Perth, outperforming Bi-LSTM and EfficientNet by over 60% in RMSE reduction. Moreover, SA-HOA improved optimization efficiency with a best fitness value of 0.0003 and reduced convergence time to 1.2 seconds, surpassing PSO, GWO, and HOA. These results highlight the framework’s ability to capture spatial-seasonal and nonlinear dependencies while maintaining low computational overhead. The findings confirm the model’s potential as a robust, adaptive, and scalable solution for intelligent EV energy demand forecasting, supporting smart grid planning and sustainable energy management.


Keywords


Spatio-Temporal Forecasting; Electric Vehicle (EV) Charging Networks; Deep Learning Framework; Efficient BiGRU (EffBiGRU); Attention Mechanism; Process Innovation

Full Text:

PDF

References


A. V. Sreekumar and R. R. Lekshmi, “Electric vehicle charging station demand prediction model deploying data slotting,” Results in Engineering, vol. 24, p. 103095, Dec. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2024.103095.

Y. Li, R. Xie, C. Li, Y. Wang, and Z. Dong, “Federated Graph Learning for EV Charging Demand Forecasting with Personalization Against Cyberattacks,” arXiv (Cornell University), Apr. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2405.00742.

N. Ji, R. Zhu, Z. Huang, and L. You, “An urban-scale spatiotemporal optimization of rooftop photovoltaic charging of electric vehicles,” Urban Informatics, vol. 3, no. 1, Jan. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s44212-023-00031-7.

H. Liu, Z. Xing, Q. Zhao, Y. Liu, and P. Zhang, “An Orderly Charging and Discharging Strategy of Electric Vehicles Based on Space–Time Distributed Load Forecasting,” Energies, vol. 17, no. 17, pp. 4284–4284, Aug. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174284.

C. Yao, S. Chen, M. Salazar, and Z. Yang, “Joint Routing and Charging Problem of Electric Vehicles With Incentive-Aware Customers Considering Spatio-Temporal Charging Prices,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, vol. 24, no. 11, pp. 12215–12226, Jun. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/tits.2023.3286952.

J. Li, S. Tian, N. Zhang, G. Liu, Z. Wu, and W. Li, “Optimization Strategy for Electric Vehicle Routing under Traffic Impedance Guidance,” Applied Sciences, vol. 13, no. 20, p. 11474, Jan. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/app132011474.

.

J. Feng, X. Chang, Y. Fan, and W. Luo, “Electric Vehicle Charging Load Prediction Model Considering Traffic Conditions and Temperature,” Processes, vol. 11, no. 8, pp. 2256–2256, Jul. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/pr11082256.

Manthila Wijesooriya Mudiyanselage et al., “A Multi-Agent Framework for Electric Vehicles Charging Power Forecast and Smart Planning of Urban Parking Lots,” IEEE Transactions on Transportation Electrification, pp. 1–1, Jan. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/tte.2023.3289196.

R. Luo, Y. Song, L. Huang, Y. Zhang, and R. Su, “AST-GIN: Attribute-Augmented Spatiotemporal Graph Informer Network for Electric Vehicle Charging Station Availability Forecasting,” Sensors, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 1975–1975, Feb. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/s23041975.

Y. Wang, D. Zhao, Y. Ren, D. Zhang, and H. Ma, “SPAP: Simultaneous Demand Prediction and Planning for Electric Vehicle Chargers in a New City,” ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data, vol. 17, no. 4, pp. 1–25, Feb. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.1145/3565577.

Y. N. Wang, Z. J. Zhang, A. Ping, R. J. Wang, and D. Q. Gong, “Optimizing electric vehicle charging strategies using multi-layer perception-based spatio-temporal prediction of charging station load,” Advances in Production Engineering & Management, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 443–459, Dec. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.14743/apem2024.4.518.

T. van Etten, V. Degeler, and D. Luo, “Large-Scale Forecasting of Electric Vehicle Charging Demand Using Global Time Series Modeling,” Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Vehicle Technology and Intelligent Transport Systems, pp. 40–51, Jan. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.5220/0012555400003702.

L. You et al., “FMGCN: Federated Meta Learning-Augmented Graph Convolutional Network for EV Charging Demand Forecasting,” IEEE internet of things journal, pp. 1–1, Jan. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/jiot.2024.3369655.

P. Chen, J. Qin, J. Dong, L. Ling, X. Lin, and H. Ding, “Electric vehicle charging demand forecasting at charging stations under climate influence for electricity dispatching,” IET Power Electronics, vol. 18, no. 1, Jan. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.1049/pel2.12833.

R. Tian, J. Wang, Z. Sun, J. Wu, X. Lu, and L. Chang, “Multi-Scale Spatial-Temporal Graph Attention Network for Charging Station Load Prediction,” IEEE Access, vol. 13, pp. 29000–29017, 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/access.2025.3541118.

S. Wang, Y. Li, C. Shao, P. Wang, A. Wang, and C. Zhuge, “An adaptive spatio-temporal graph recurrent network for short-term electric vehicle charging demand prediction,” Applied Energy, vol. 383, p. 125320, Apr. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.125320.

H. Kuang, K. Deng, L. You, and J. Li, “Citywide electric vehicle charging demand prediction approach considering urban region and dynamic influences,” Energy, vol. 320, p. 135170, Apr. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.135170.

Y. Chen, Z. Tang, Y. Cui, W. Rao, and Y. Li, “Electric Vehicle Charging Demand Prediction Model Based on Spatiotemporal Attention Mechanism,” Energies, vol. 18, no. 3, p. 687, Feb. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/en18030687.

X. Yang et al., “A spatiotemporal distribution prediction model for electric vehicles charging load in transportation power coupled network,” Scientific Reports, vol. 15, no. 1, Feb. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88607-y.

R. Marlin, R. Jurdak, and A. Abuadbba, “H-FLTN: A Privacy-Preserving Hierarchical Framework for Electric Vehicle Spatio-Temporal Charge Prediction,” arXiv.org, 2025. https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.18697 (accessed Apr. 23, 2025).

Q. Han and X. Li, “A Vertical Federated Learning Method for Electric Vehicle Charging Station Load Prediction in Coupled Transportation and Power Distribution Systems,” Processes, vol. 13, no. 2, p. 468, Feb. 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13020468.

Y. Zhuang, L. Cheng, N. Qi, X. Wang, and Y. Chen, “Real-time hosting capacity assessment for electric vehicles: A sequential forecast-then-optimize method,” Applied Energy, vol. 380, pp. 125034–125034, Dec. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125034.

S. Hou, X. Zhang, and H. Yu, “Electric Vehicle Charging Load Prediction Considering Spatio-Temporal Node Importance Information,” Energies, vol. 17, no. 19, p. 4840, Sep. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/en17194840.

X. Hu et al., “GCN-Transformer-Based Spatio-Temporal Load Forecasting for EV Battery Swapping Stations under Differential Couplings,” Electronics, vol. 13, no. 17, pp. 3401–3401, Aug. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13173401.

Y. Chen, M. Wang, Y. Wei, X. Huang, and S. Gao, “Multi-Encoder Spatio-Temporal Feature Fusion Network for Electric Vehicle Charging Load Prediction,” Journal of Intelligent & Robotic Systems, vol. 110, no. 3, Jul. 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10846-024-02125-z.

M. S. Hasibuan, R. Z. A. Aziz, D. A. Dewi, T. B. Kurniawan, and N. A. Syafira, “Recommendation Model for Learning Material Using the Felder Silverman Learning Style Approach,” HighTech and Innovation Journal, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 811–820, Dec. 2023, doi: https://doi.org/10.28991/HIJ-2023-04-04-010.

.

.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.47738/jads.v7i1.805

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.



Barcode

Journal of Applied Data Sciences

ISSN:2723-6471 (Online)
Publisher:Bright Publisher
Website:http://bright-journal.org/JADS
Email:taqwa@amikompurwokerto.ac.id (principal contact)
  support@bright-journal.org (technical issues)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0